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Fig. 3.

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Some parameter evolution for the seven simulations, as a function of time in t 0 units (t 0 = 55.5 s). From (A–F), the following predictor evolution is respectively displayed: the total current helicity , the total current I tot, the mean value of the free energy , the total flux Φ tot, the total Lorentz force F and the Schrijver R value. The warm colors indicate the evolution for the three eruptive simulations {WD E, MD E, SD E}, respectively, corresponding to the magenta, orange, and red solid lines. Conversely, the evolution of the non-eruptive simulations {ND, WD, MD, SD} is displayed using the cold colors, respectively, as follows: purple, deep blue, light blue, and green solid lines. The eruption time is indicated by the vertical dashed gray line.

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