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Comparison of ≥M1.0 24-h flaring rates between SC22 (1988–1996) and SC23 (1996–2008) for the McIntosh static (panel a) and evolution-dependent (panel b) Poisson forecast methods. Dashed diagonal lines indicate the unity relation, while ODR best-fit linear relations are overlaid as thick lines. Best-fit slopes and reduced chi-squared values are also included.
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