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Fig. 7


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Fractional uncertainties as a function of ensemble probability. Left and right panels compare the CLC and ULC cases for the three top-performing ensembles (Table 4 for M-class flares, consisting of the metrics linear correlation coefficient (LCC; grey), Brier score (Brier; red), and non-linear rank correlation coefficient, ρ (NLCC_ρ; black).

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