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Research Article

Table 4

Rankings of evaluation metrics for M-class flare forecasts. For each metric top five ensembles are displayed.

Rank Brier score Reliability Resolution ROC area
1 LCC_unc NLCC_ρ_unc LCC_unc NLCC_τ_unc
2 BRIER_unc BRIER_unc CSI_unc NLCC_ρ_unc
3 NLCC_ρ_unc BRIER_C HSS_unc ROC_unc
4 HSS_unc GSS BRIER_unc BRIER_unc
5 ROC_unc REL_unc NLCC_ρ_unc LCC_unc

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