Open Access

Table C.1

Rankings of evaluation metrics for X-class flare forecasts. For each metric,the top five performing ensembles are displayed.

Rank Brier score Reliability Resolution ROC area
1 HSS_unc REL_unc HSS_unc NLCC_τ_unc
2 CSI_unc MAE_unc CSI_unc NLCC_τ
3 LCC_unc BRIER_unc MOSWOC NLCC_ρ
4 BRIER_unc MAE LCC_unc ROC
5 MAE_unc RES_unc HSS NLCC_ρ_unc

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