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Table 1

The comparisons of prediction efficiencies of ≥2 MeV electron hourly fluences of different models.

Model Our transformer model Persistence model LSTM model by Wei et al. (2018) MLP model by Son et al. (2022) MLP model by Shin et al. (2016)
PE 0.961 0.955 0.900 0.970 0.960
RMSE 0.2136 0.2155 0.2855
Model input Flux + MLT ≥2 MeV electron hourly fluence 1 h ago Flux + Kp + R0 Flux + Vsw + N + T + |B| + Bz + Dst + Kp A total of 17 input parameters
Model output ≥2 MeV electron hourly fluence ≥2 MeV electron hourly fluence ≥2 MeV electron hourly fluence ≥2 MeV electron hourly fluence ≥2 MeV electron hourly fluence
Satellites GOES-10 GOES-10 GOES-8, GOES-10, GOES-11, GOES-13 GOES-15, GOES-16 GOES-15
Test time 2005 2005 2008 October to December from 2011 to 2021 2014

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