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Table 2

The comparisons of prediction efficiencies of ≥2 MeV electron daily fluences of different models.

Model Our transformer model Persistence model Geomagnetic pulsation model by He et al. (2013) EOF model by Li et al. (2017) EMD model by Qian et al. (2020)
PE 0.857 0.507 0.720 0.664 0.790
RMSE 0.3301 0.6122 0.3800
Model input Flux + MLT ≥2 MeV electron daily fluences 1 day ago Flux + Pi12 + Pc5 Flux + Vsw + N + Pd + Bz + Dst + ap + AE Flux + solar wind parameters + geomagnetic indices
Model output ≥2 MeV electron daily fluences ≥2 MeV electron daily fluences ≥2 MeV electron daily fluences ≥2 MeV electron daily fluences ≥2 MeV electron daily fluences
Satellites GOES-10 GOES-10 GOES-12 GOES-10 GOES-10
Test time 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005

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