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Michal Ben-Nun, Tibor Török, Erika Palmerio, Cooper Downs, Viacheslav S. Titov, Mark G. Linton, Ronald M. Caplan and Roberto Lionello The Astrophysical Journal 957(2) 74 (2023) https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/acfe6c
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Full Velocities and Propagation Directions of Coronal Mass Ejections Inferred from Simultaneous Full-disk Imaging and Sun-as-a-star Spectroscopic Observations
Hong-peng Lu, Hui Tian, He-chao Chen, Yu Xu, Zhen-yong Hou, Xian-yong Bai, Guang-yu Tan, Zi-hao Yang and Jie Ren The Astrophysical Journal 953(1) 68 (2023) https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/acd6a1
Heliospheric 3-D MHD ENLIL simulations of multi-CME and multi-spacecraft events
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N. Dresing, L. Rodríguez-García, I. C. Jebaraj, A. Warmuth, S. Wallace, L. Balmaceda, T. Podladchikova, R. D. Strauss, A. Kouloumvakos, C. Palmroos, V. Krupar, J. Gieseler, Z. Xu, J. G. Mitchell, C. M. S. Cohen, G. A. de Nolfo, E. Palmerio, F. Carcaboso, E. K. J. Kilpua, D. Trotta, U. Auster, E. Asvestari, D. da Silva, W. Dröge, T. Getachew, et al. Astronomy & Astrophysics 674 A105 (2023) https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202345938
Can One Predict Coronal Mass Ejection Arrival Times With Thirty‐Minute Accuracy?
CME propagation through the heliosphere: Status and future of observations and model development
Manuela Temmer, Camilla Scolini, Ian G. Richardson, Stephan G. Heinemann, Evangelos Paouris, Angelos Vourlidas, Mario M. Bisi, N. Al-Haddad, T. Amerstorfer, L. Barnard, D. Burešová, S.J. Hofmeister, K. Iwai, B.V. Jackson, R. Jarolim, L.K. Jian, J.A. Linker, N. Lugaz, P.K. Manoharan, M.L. Mays, W. Mishra, M.J. Owens, E. Palmerio, B. Perri, J. Pomoell, et al. Advances in Space Research (2023) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2023.07.003
sunRunner1D: A Tool for Exploring ICME Evolution through the Inner Heliosphere
CMEs and SEPs During November–December 2020: A Challenge for Real‐Time Space Weather Forecasting
Erika Palmerio, Christina O. Lee, M. Leila Mays, Janet G. Luhmann, David Lario, Beatriz Sánchez‐Cano, Ian G. Richardson, Rami Vainio, Michael L. Stevens, Christina M. S. Cohen, Konrad Steinvall, Christian Möstl, Andreas J. Weiss, Teresa Nieves‐Chinchilla, Yan Li, Davin E. Larson, Daniel Heyner, Stuart D. Bale, Antoinette B. Galvin, Mats Holmström, Yuri V. Khotyaintsev, Milan Maksimovic and Igor G. Mitrofanov Space Weather 20(5) (2022) https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002993
OSPREI: A Coupled Approach to Modeling CME‐Driven Space Weather With Automatically Generated, User‐Friendly Outputs
Quantifying errors in 3D CME parameters derived from synthetic data using white-light reconstruction techniques
Christine Verbeke, M. Leila Mays, Christina Kay, Pete Riley, Erika Palmerio, Mateja Dumbović, Marilena Mierla, Camilla Scolini, Manuela Temmer, Evangelos Paouris, Laura A. Balmaceda, Hebe Cremades and Jürgen Hinterreiter Advances in Space Research (2022) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2022.08.056
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Validation of coronal mass ejection arrival-time forecasts by magnetohydrodynamic simulations based on interplanetary scintillation observations
An integrated data-driven solar wind – CME numerical framework for space weather forecasting
Nishant M. Narechania, Ljubomir Nikolić, Lucie Freret, Hans De Sterck and Clinton P. T. Groth Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate 11 8 (2021) https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2020068
Propagating Conditions and the Time of ICME Arrival: A Comparison of the Effective Acceleration Model with ENLIL and DBEM Models
Using Gradient Boosting Regression to Improve Ambient Solar Wind Model Predictions
R. L. Bailey, M. A. Reiss, C. N. Arge, C. Möstl, C. J. Henney, M. J. Owens, U. V. Amerstorfer, T. Amerstorfer, A. J. Weiss and J. Hinterreiter Space Weather 19(5) (2021) https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002673
Joint Geoeffectiveness and Arrival Time Prediction of CMEs by a Unified Deep Learning Framework
Machine Learning for Predicting the Bz Magnetic Field Component From Upstream in Situ Observations of Solar Coronal Mass Ejections
M. A. Reiss, C. Möstl, R. L. Bailey, H. T. Rüdisser, U. V. Amerstorfer, T. Amerstorfer, A. J. Weiss, J. Hinterreiter and A. Windisch Space Weather 19(12) (2021) https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002859
Predicting CMEs Using ELEvoHI With STEREO‐HI Beacon Data
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CME Magnetic Structure and IMF Preconditioning Affecting SEP Transport
Erika Palmerio, Emilia K. J. Kilpua, Olivier Witasse, David Barnes, Beatriz Sánchez‐Cano, Andreas J. Weiss, Teresa Nieves‐Chinchilla, Christian Möstl, Lan K. Jian, Marilena Mierla, Andrei N. Zhukov, Jingnan Guo, Luciano Rodriguez, Patrick J. Lowrance, Alexey Isavnin, Lucile Turc, Yoshifumi Futaana and Mats Holmström Space Weather 19(4) (2021) https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002654
Probabilistic Drag-Based Ensemble Model (DBEM) Evaluation for Heliospheric Propagation of CMEs
Evaluation of CME Arrival Prediction Using Ensemble Modeling Based on Heliospheric Imaging Observations
Tanja Amerstorfer, Jürgen Hinterreiter, Martin A. Reiss, Christian Möstl, Jackie A. Davies, Rachel L. Bailey, Andreas J. Weiss, Mateja Dumbović, Maike Bauer, Ute V. Amerstorfer and Richard A. Harrison Space Weather 19(1) (2021) https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002553
Assessment of CESE-HLLD ambient solar wind model results using multipoint observation
Predicting the Time of Arrival of Coronal Mass Ejections at Earth From Heliospheric Imaging Observations
Carlos Roberto Braga, Angelos Vourlidas, Guillermo Stenborg, Alisson Dal Lago, Rafael Rodrigues Souza de Mendonça and Ezequiel Echer Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics 125(9) (2020) https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JA027885
Forecasting the Ambient Solar Wind with Numerical Models. II. An Adaptive Prediction System for Specifying Solar Wind Speed near the Sun
Predicting the geoeffective properties of coronal mass ejections: current status, open issues and path forward
A. Vourlidas, S. Patsourakos and N. P. Savani Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 377(2148) 20180096 (2019) https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2018.0096
Multipoint Study of Successive Coronal Mass Ejections Driving Moderate Disturbances at 1 au
Incorporation of Heliospheric Imagery Into the CME Analysis Tool for Improvement of CME Forecasting
S. J. Wharton, G. H. Millward, S. Bingham, E. M. Henley, S. Gonzi and D. R. Jackson Space Weather 17(8) 1312 (2019) https://doi.org/10.1029/2019SW002166
Formation of Coronal Mass Ejections in the Solar Corona and Propagation of the Resulting Plasma Streams in the Heliosphere
Benchmarking CME Arrival Time and Impact: Progress on Metadata, Metrics, and Events
C. Verbeke, M. L. Mays, M. Temmer, S. Bingham, R. Steenburgh, M. Dumbović, M. Núñez, L. K. Jian, P. Hess, C. Wiegand, A. Taktakishvili and J. Andries Space Weather 17(1) 6 (2019) https://doi.org/10.1029/2018SW002046
Modeling the Multiple CME Interaction Event on 6–9 September 2017 with WSA‐ENLIL+Cone
Forecasting the Arrival Time of Coronal Mass Ejections: Analysis of the CCMC CME Scoreboard
Pete Riley, M. Leila Mays, Jesse Andries, Tanja Amerstorfer, Douglas Biesecker, Veronique Delouille, Mateja Dumbović, Xueshang Feng, Edmund Henley, Jon A. Linker, Christian Möstl, Marlon Nuñez, Vic Pizzo, Manuela Temmer, W. K. Tobiska, C. Verbeke, Matthew J West and Xinhua Zhao Space Weather 16(9) 1245 (2018) https://doi.org/10.1029/2018SW001962
The Effects of Uncertainty in Initial CME Input Parameters on Deflection, Rotation, Bz, and Arrival Time Predictions
Ensemble Prediction of a Halo Coronal Mass Ejection Using Heliospheric Imagers
T. Amerstorfer, C. Möstl, P. Hess, M. Temmer, M. L. Mays, M. A. Reiss, P. Lowrance and P.‐A. Bourdin Space Weather 16(7) 784 (2018) https://doi.org/10.1029/2017SW001786
Solar Eruptions, Forbush Decreases, and Geomagnetic Disturbances From Outstanding Active Region 12673