Open Access
Table 1.
Forecast results for each of the SEP events that occurred from November 2011 to December 2012 and were considered as well-connected events, using soft X-ray (SXR) and microwave emission (5 and 9 GHz) as input to the UMASEP scheme.
| SEP |
Flare |
Warning time (WCP model)(1)
|
Result using WCP model(1)
|
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start time | Peak time | GOES class | Location | 5 GHz (min) | 9 GHz (min) | SXR (min) | 5 GHz | 9 GHz | SXR |
| 2012 Jan 23 | Jan 23 | M8 | N28W36 | 50 | 50 | 45 | Hit | Hit | Hit |
| 05:30 | 03:59 | ||||||||
| 2012 Jan 27 | Jan 27 | X1 | N27W71 | 15 | 15 | 15 | Hit | Hit | Hit |
| 19:05 | 18:37 | ||||||||
| 2012 Mar 07 | Mar 07 | X5 | N17E15 | 25 | 25 | 70 | Hit | Hit | Hit |
| 05:10 | 00:24 | ||||||||
| 2012 Mar 13 | Mar 13 | M7 | N18W62 | 5 | 10 | 10 | Hit | Hit | Hit |
| 18:10 | 17:41 | ||||||||
| 2012 May 17 | May 17 | M5 | N12W89 | 5 | 5 | 5 | Hit | Hit | Hit |
| 02:10 | 01:47 | ||||||||
| 2012 Jul 07 | Jul 06 | X1 | S18W50 | Miss | Miss | Miss(2) | |||
| 04:00 | 23:08 | ||||||||
| 2012 Jul 12 | Jul 12 | X1 | S16W09 | 30 | 25 | 30 | Hit | Hit | Hit |
| 18:35 | 17:10 | ||||||||
| 2012 Jul 17 | Jul 17 | M1 | S17W75 | 10 | Miss | Miss | Hit | ||
| 17:15 | 17:15 | ||||||||
| 2012 Sep 28 | Sep 27 | C3 | N08W41 | 85 | 85 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| 03:00 | 23:57 | ||||||||
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