ROC Curve for DAFFS NRT forecasts (see Fig. 13). Blue/Green/Red curves indicate the three event definitions (C1.0+, 24 h, M1.0+, 24 h, X1.0+, 24 h) for effectively 0 h, 24 h, and 48 h latencies (left:right). Top row: region-by-region, Bottom row: full disk forecasts. Also noted on each plot are the Gini coefficients, the maximum H&KSS (TSS) achieved, and the probability threshold P_th used for that maximum H&KSS score.