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Research Article

Table 6

Summary of the forecasting results of the WCP-euv94, WCP-euv171, WCP-euv304 and WCP-sxr (v1.3) models using out-of-sample data for predicting the SEP events presented in Table 1 for the period from November 2014 to December 2017.

Date and time of SEP event WCP-euv94
WCP-euv171
WCP-euv304
WCP-sxr (v1.3)
Forecast result Warning time Forecast result Warning time Forecast result Warning time Forecast result Warning time
06/18/2015 – 11:35 Hit 5 h 5 min Hit 5 h 5 min Hit 5 h 5 min Hit 5 h 40 min
10/29/2015 – 5:50 Hit 2 h 15 min Hit 1 h 10 min Hit 40 min Miss
01/02/2016 – 4:30 Hit 2 h 55 min Hit 55 min Hit 2 h 55 min Hit 3 h 50 min
07/14/2017 – 9:00 Hit 3 h 30 min Hit 3 h 30 min Hit 3 h 30 min Hit 3 h 40 min
09/05/2017 – 0:40 Hit 30 min Hit 10 min Hit 30 min Hit 40 min
09/10/2017 – 16:45 Hit 10 min Miss Hit 5 min Hit 15 min

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