Open Access
Table 6
Summary of the forecasting results of the WCP-euv94, WCP-euv171, WCP-euv304 and WCP-sxr (v1.3) models using out-of-sample data for predicting the SEP events presented in Table 1 for the period from November 2014 to December 2017.
Date and time of SEP event | WCP-euv94 |
WCP-euv171 |
WCP-euv304 |
WCP-sxr (v1.3) |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecast result | Warning time | Forecast result | Warning time | Forecast result | Warning time | Forecast result | Warning time | |
06/18/2015 – 11:35 | Hit | 5 h 5 min | Hit | 5 h 5 min | Hit | 5 h 5 min | Hit | 5 h 40 min |
10/29/2015 – 5:50 | Hit | 2 h 15 min | Hit | 1 h 10 min | Hit | 40 min | Miss | |
01/02/2016 – 4:30 | Hit | 2 h 55 min | Hit | 55 min | Hit | 2 h 55 min | Hit | 3 h 50 min |
07/14/2017 – 9:00 | Hit | 3 h 30 min | Hit | 3 h 30 min | Hit | 3 h 30 min | Hit | 3 h 40 min |
09/05/2017 – 0:40 | Hit | 30 min | Hit | 10 min | Hit | 30 min | Hit | 40 min |
09/10/2017 – 16:45 | Hit | 10 min | Miss | Hit | 5 min | Hit | 15 min |
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