Flare Forecasting methods included in the ensemble forecast (members). Name, developer/issuer/responsible institution, details on predictive model, archive or place used to retrieve forecasts, and references for each method are presented.
|MAG4||U. of Alabama, MSFC||Forecasting curve + free energy proxy; fully automated||iSWAa||Falconer et al. (2011, 2014)|
|ASSA||Korean Space Weather Center||McIntosh class + Poisson statistics; fully automated||iSWA||ASSA Manualb|
|ASAP||U. of Bradford, UK||McIntosh class; sunspot-group area; neural network||iSWA||Colak & Qahwaji (2008, 2009)|
|NOAA||NOAA SWPC||Table look-up + persistence + climatology; human corrected||https://swpc.noaa.gov||Crown (2012)|
|MOSWOC||UK Met Office||McIntosh class + Poisson statistics; human corrected||https://metoffice.gov.uk/space-weather||Murray et al. (2017)|
|MCSTAT||Trinity College Dublin||McIntosh class + Poisson statistics; fully automated||https://solarmonitor.org||Gallagher et al. (2002), Bloomfield et al. (2012)|
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