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Table 2

Evaluation of the NN-based and the baseline models in the context of the regression problem. The model was evaluated with the full test set and also with the SIR-induced test set and the ICME-induced test set.

Time horizon (h) RMSE (nT)
R
TDM
Full SIR ICME Full SIR ICME Full SIR ICME
3 2.62 (8.13) 2.42 (6.37) 3.43 (11.18) 0.96 (0.63) 0.95 (0.64) 0.95 (0.64) 0.13 (−0.42) 0.07 (−0.30) 0.08 (−0.55)
6 2.75 (8.08) 2.52 (6.37) 3.57 (11.10) 0.95 (0.64) 0.94 (0.64) 0.95 (0.65) 0.21 (−0.37) 0.14 (−0.25) 0.16 (−0.51)
9 2.95 (8.05) 2.67 (6.39) 3.79 (11.05) 0.95 (0.64) 0.93 (0.64) 0.94 (0.65) 0.39 (−0.32) 0.21 (−0.21) 0.25 (−0.49)
12 3.17 (8.05) 2.85 (6.43) 4.03 (11.01) 0.94 (0.64) 0.92 (0.64) 0.93 (0.65) 0.39 (−0.28) 0.28 (−0.16) 0.35 (−0.46)
15 3.42 (8.05) 3.04 (6.48) 4.29 (10.97) 0.93 (0.64) 0.91 (0.63) 0.92 (0.64) 0.46 (−0.23) 0.35 (−0.12) 0.43 (−0.41)
18 3.66 (8.08) 3.24 (6.54) 4.53 (10.94) 0.91 (0.63) 0.90 (0.63) 0.91 (0.64) 0.52 (−0.17) 0.40 (−0.06) 0.48 (−0.35)
21 3.92 (8.11) 3.43 (6.59) 4.78 (10.92) 0.90 (0.62) 0.89 (0.62) 0.90 (0.63) 0.56 (−0.13) 0.45 (−0.02) 0.52 (−0.30)
24 4.17 (8.16) 3.62 (6.65) 5.03 (10.90) 0.89 (0.62) 0.88 (0.61) 0.89 (0.63) 0.60 (−0.10) 0.49 (0.03) 0.58 (−0.29)

Notes. The results obtained with the NN-based model are given in bold. The results obtained with the baseline are given in brackets.

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