Open Access
Issue
J. Space Weather Space Clim.
Volume 7, 2017
Article Number A20
Number of page(s) 16
DOI https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2017018
Published online 24 August 2017
  • Agresti, A., and B.A. Coull. Approximate is Better than “Exact” for Interval Estimation of Binomial Proportions. Amer. Stat., 52, 1, 1998.
  • Bloomfield, D.S., P.A. Higgins, R.T. James McAteer, and P. Gallagher. Toward reliable benchmarking of solar flare forecasting methods. Astrophys. J., 747, L41, 2012, DOI: 10.1088/2041-8205/747/L41. [NASA ADS] [CrossRef]
  • Crown, M.D. Validation of the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center’s solar flare forecasting look-up table and forecaster-issued probabilities. Space Weather, 10, S06006, 2012, DOI: 10.1029/2011SW000760. [CrossRef]
  • Démoulin, P., C.H. Mandrini, L. van Driel-Gesztelyi, B.J. Thompson, S. Plunkett, Z. Kövári, G. Aulanier, and A. Young. What is the source of the magnetic helicity shed by CMEs? The long-term helicity budget of AR 7978. A&A, 382, 650, 2002. DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361:20011634. [CrossRef] [EDP Sciences]
  • Devos, A., C. Verbeeck, and E. Robbrecht. Verification of space weather forecasting at the Regional Warning Center in Belgium. J. Space Weather Space Clim., 4, A29, 2014, DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2014025. [CrossRef] [EDP Sciences]
  • DiCiccio, T.J., and B. Efron. Bootstrap confidence intervals. Stat. Sci., 11, 189, 1996. [CrossRef]
  • Efron, B., and R.J. Tibshirani. An introduction to the bootstrap. Chapman and Hall, New York, 1993. [CrossRef]
  • Ferro, C.A.T., and D.B. Stephenson. Extremal dependence indices: improved verification measures for deterministic forecasts of rare binary events. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 699, 2011, DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-10-05030.1. [CrossRef]
  • Finley, J.P.. Tornado predictions. Amer. Meteor. J., 1, 85, 1884.
  • Gandin, L.S., and A.H. Murphy. Equitable skill score for categorical forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 361, 1992. [CrossRef]
  • Gerrity, J.P. A note on Gandin and Murphy’s equitable skill score. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 2709, 1992. [CrossRef]
  • Green, L.M., M.C. López Fuentes, C.H. Mandrini, P. Démoulin, L. van Driel-Gesztelyi, and J.L. Culhane. The magnetic helicity budget of a CME-prolific active region. Sol. Phys., 208, 43, 2002. [NASA ADS] [CrossRef]
  • Hamill, T.M., and J. Juras. Measuring forecast skill: is it real skill or is it the varying climatology? Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 132, 2905, 2006. DOI: 10.1256/qj.06.25. [CrossRef]
  • Jolliffe, I.T. Uncertainty and inference for verification measures. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 637, 2007, DOI: 10.1175/WAF989.1. [CrossRef]
  • Jolliffe, I.T., and D.B. Stephenson. Forecast verification: a practitioner’s guide in atmospheric science. 1st edn., John Wiley and Sons Ltd, UK, 2003.
  • Kubo, Y. Statistical models for the solar flare interval distribution in individual active regions. Sol. Phys., 248, 85, 2008, DOI: 10.1007/s11207-008-9135-6. [CrossRef]
  • McCloskey, A.E., P.T. Gallagher, and D.S. Bloomfield. Flaring rates and the evolution of sunspot group mcintosh classifications. Sol. Phys., 291, 1711, 2016, DOI: 10.1007/s11207-016-0933-y. [CrossRef]
  • Murphy, A.H. Forecast verification: its complexity and dimensionality. Mon. Wea. Rev., 119, 1590, 1991. [CrossRef]
  • Murphy, A.H. The Finley affair: a signal event in the history of forecast verification. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 3, 1996. [CrossRef]
  • Murphy, A.H., and R.L. Winkler. A general framework for forecast verification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1330, 1987. [CrossRef]
  • Stephenson, D.B. Use of the “odds ratio” for diagnosing forecast skill. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 221, 2000. [CrossRef] [EDP Sciences]
  • Stephenson, D.B., B. Casati, C.A.T. Ferro, and C.A. Wilson. The extreme dependency score: a non-vanishing measure for forecast of rare events. Meteorol. Appl., 15, 41, 2008, DOI: 10.1002/met.53. [CrossRef] [EDP Sciences]
  • Wilks, D.S. Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences. 2nd edn., Elsevier, Oxford, 2006.
  • Wilson, E.B. Probable inference, the law of succession, and statistical inference. J. Amer. Stat. Assoc., 22, 209, 1927. [CrossRef]
  • WMO. Recommendation for the Verification and Intercomparison of QPFs and PQPFs from Operational NWP Models, WWRP 2009-1. 2009, available at https://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/documents/WWRP2009-1_web_CD.pdf.
  • WMO. Verification Methods for Tropical Cyclone Forecasts, WWRP 2013-7. 2014, available at https://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/documents/WWRP_2013_7_TC_verification_15_Nov_en.pdf.

Current usage metrics show cumulative count of Article Views (full-text article views including HTML views, PDF and ePub downloads, according to the available data) and Abstracts Views on Vision4Press platform.

Data correspond to usage on the plateform after 2015. The current usage metrics is available 48-96 hours after online publication and is updated daily on week days.

Initial download of the metrics may take a while.