Fig. 3


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Left: Plot of the PPS forecasted versus observed >50-MeV fluences above 1 pfu for events with Ip> 1 pfu. Red crosses are the 7 PPS false alarms with observed Ip> 1 pfu. The PPS was run with flare X-ray inputs. Right: Same for the PPS forecasted events run with >500 sfu bursts. Diagonal lines in each plot correspond to correct forecasts.

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