Table 5

Observed, predicted and expected weak SPEs of solar cycle 24.

Event No. Date of event Intensity I max (≥10 MeV), pfu Source location Flare class CME speed (km/s) Comments references
1 7 Mar 2011 50 N24W59 M3.7/S NW2000 NOAA, (2018), Makhmutov et al. (2013)
2 23 Jan 2012 6310 N28W36 M8.7 2175 Belov et al. (2015a,b), Makhmutov et al. (2013)
3 27 Jan 2012 796 N27W71 X1.7 2508 Belov et al. (2015a,b), http://gle.oulu.fi
4 07 Mar 2012 6530 N17E15 X5.4 1825 Belov et al. (2015a,b), http://gle.oulu.fi
5 13 Mar 2012 469 N18W62 M7.9 1884 Belov et al. (2015a,b)
6 17 May 2012: Rather weak GLE 255 N12W83 M5.1 1582 Li et al. (2013), four polar NMs, maximum ~16% by 5-minute data
7 22 May 2012 1660 N15W70 M5.0 1466 Li et al. (2015)
8 23 July 2012 5000 Backside Backside Partial halo Gopalswamy et al. (2016)
10 19 Nov 2013 S70W14 Makhmutov et al. (2015)
11 06 Jan 2014: Weak GLE? Sub-GLE? Observed by several NMs (South Pole, Barentsburg, Tixie, McMurdo and others) I max (≥1.0 GV) = 1.11 × 10−4, pfu S18W102 N.O. 2095 Thakur et al. (2014), Balabin et al. (2015), Li et al., (2016), Miroshnichenko & Yanke, 2016, http://gle.oulu.fi
12 06 Jan 2014 Standard SPE (GOES) 1033 S15W11 X1.2 NOAA (2018) – observed
13 07 June 2015 Pérez-Peraza & Juárez-Zuñiga (2015): Predicted GLE? N.O. N.O. N.O. N.O. Unusual increase of unknown nature; Sub-GLE? http://gle.oulu.fi
14 22 Jun 2015 1070 N13W00 M2.0 Full halo NOAA (2018) – observed
15 29 Oct 2015: Weak GLE? Sub-GLE? 23 (NOAA, 2018) Far-sided on W limb S11/29 02:36 Far-sided on W limb S11/29 02:36 N.O. Predicted GLE: Pérez-Peraza & Juárez-Zuñiga (2015); Sub-GLE observed by two NMs (South Pole and Dome C) ((Augusto et al., 2016; Mishev et al., 2017); http://gle.oulu.fi
16 10 September 2017: Rather weak GLE 1490 (NOAA, 2018) S08W83 X8 (8.9?) Asymmetric full halo/10 16:00 UT GLE, maximum 6% on 2-minute NM data (Kurt et al., 2018)

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