Table 3

The summary of reasons for the decrease of forecast quality using real-time input.

  Quality decrease for the earliest forecast in 21 storms Overestimated maximal prediction in 28 storms In total, the decrease of forecast quality in 49 storms
Overestimated for 10 storms Missed for 11 storms
Dst verestimated 6 22 28
VBs overestimated 2 2 4
Dst and VBsoverestimated 2 4 6
ACE failure
VBs underestimated 6 6
VBs underestimated 4 4
Dst underestimated 1 1

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