Nowcasting of Solar Energetic Particle Events using near real-time Coronal Mass Ejection characteristics in the framework of the FORSPEF tool | Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate

Measurement, Specification and Forecasting of the Solar Energetic Particle Environment and GLEs

Open Access

Fig. 1.

The derived SEP occurrence probabilities for all nine subgroups and the obtained fits per angular width of the CME. The blue line corresponds to Halo CMEs (AW = 360°), the red line to Partial Halo CMEs (120° ≤ AW ≤ 359°) and the green line corresponds to non halo CMEs (AW < 120°). The best fits are presented in Table 2. The error bars are calculated as: , see text and Table 1 for details.

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