Nowcasting of Solar Energetic Particle Events using near real-time Coronal Mass Ejection characteristics in the framework of the FORSPEF tool | Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate

Measurement, Specification and Forecasting of the Solar Energetic Particle Environment and GLEs

Open Access

Fig. 6.

An indicative example of the categorical performance statistics for the CME module as a function of probability thresholds (panel on the left) and the obtained POD and FAR for all 10 different trials, depicted as circles (panel on the right). The obtained POD and FAR from the initial sample (see Sect. 5.1.1 and Figure 5) are also marked in this latter panel as triangles, for comparison.

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