Table 3
This table summarizes the forecasting results of the WCP-euvA, WCP-euvB, WCP-euvE, WCP-euv94, WCP-euv171 and WCP-euv304 models using calibration data for predicting the events in Table 4 that took place from May 2010 to October 2014. This table also presents the forecasting results of the version 1.3 of the SXR-based WCP which was also calibrated with data up to October 2014.
| WCP-euvA (50–150 Å)a | WCP-euvB (250–340 Å)a | WCP-euvE (1180–1270 Å)a | WCP-euv94 (93–94.5 Å)a | WCP-euv171 (170.7–172.7 Å)a | WCP-euv304 (298–308 Å)a | WCP-sxr (v1.3) d (1–8 Å)a , c | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PODprompt | 84.6% (22/26) | 84.6% (22/26) | 73.1% (19/26) | 80.8% (21/26) | 73.1% (19/26) | 80.8% (21/26) | 65.4% (17/26) |
| FARprompt | 12.0% (3/25) | 8.3% (2/24) | 13.6% (3/22) | 4.5% (1/22) | 9.5% (2/21)b | 4.5% (1/22) | 5.6% (1/18)c |
| AWT (MWT)c | 56 (45) min | 53 (40) min | 61 (45) min | 43 (34) min | 58 (45) min | 54 (34) min | 49 (45) min |
| CSIprompt | 75.9 % | 78.6% | 65.5% | 77.8% | 67.9%b | 77.8% | 63.0% |
Wavelength range of solar EM data used by each WCP model. See Section 2 for more details.
The FAR and CSI obtained by the WCP-euv171 were estimated by filtering out the false alarm #3 (see Table 2), which was triggered by an AIA flare at 171 Å that took place east of E20.
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