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Table 8

Forecasting results of the WCP-euv94, WCP-euv171, WCP-euv304 and WCP-sxr (v1.3) models using out-of-sample data for predicting the SEP events in Table 1, which occurred from November 2014 to December 2017.

WCP-euv94 (93–94.5 Å)a WCP-euv171 (170.7–172.7 Å)a WCP-euv304 (298–308 Å)a WCP-sxr (v1.3)c (1–8 Å)a
PODprompt 100% (6/6) 83.3% (5/6) 100.00% (6/6) 83.3% (5/6)
FARprompt 25% (2/8) 16.7% (1/6) 40% (4/10) 16.7% (1/6)
AWT (MWT)b 144 (155) min 130 (70) min 127 (107) min 169 (220) min
CSIprompt 75% 71.4% 60% 71.4%
a

Wavelength range of solar EM data used by each WCP model. See Section 2 for details.

b

The Average and Median Warning times correspond to the successful predictions of prompt SEP events.

c

The forecast results for the version 1.3 of the WCP-sxr model which were calibrated using data up to October 2014.

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