Forecasting results of the WCP-euv94, WCP-euv171, WCP-euv304 and WCP-sxr (v1.3) models using out-of-sample data for predicting the SEP events in Table 1, which occurred from November 2014 to December 2017.
|WCP-euv94 (93–94.5 Å)a||WCP-euv171 (170.7–172.7 Å)a||WCP-euv304 (298–308 Å)a||WCP-sxr (v1.3)c (1–8 Å)a|
|PODprompt||100% (6/6)||83.3% (5/6)||100.00% (6/6)||83.3% (5/6)|
|FARprompt||25% (2/8)||16.7% (1/6)||40% (4/10)||16.7% (1/6)|
|AWT (MWT)b||144 (155) min||130 (70) min||127 (107) min||169 (220) min|
Wavelength range of solar EM data used by each WCP model. See Section 2 for details.
The Average and Median Warning times correspond to the successful predictions of prompt SEP events.
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