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Table 4
Summary of the forecasting performance against the Final Global TEC maps from Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC).
| Date | Max Kp | Min Dst (nT) | Note | Metrics (TECu) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| μ | σ | RMSE | ||||
| 08 Feb 2018 | 1+ | −1 | G0 – quiet time | −0.6 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| 13–14 Jan 2018 | 5− | −14 | G1 storm – CH | −0.6 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| 07–12 Nov 2017 | 6+ | −72 | G2 storm – CH | 0.04 | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| 26 Sep–03 Oct 2017 | 7− | −75 | G3 storm – CH | −0.9 | 4.0 | 4.1 |
| 27–31 May 2017 | 7 | −125 | G3 storm – CME | 0.3 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| 07–11 Sep 2017 | 8+ | −142 | G4 storm – CME | 0.4 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
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