Table 1

The E > 50 MeV 10-pfu events, flare associations, and PPS outcomes.

SEP event Flare event PPS forecast (pfu)b



SEP onset Peak Fluence Start Event Rise Flare 8800 X-ray 8800









Date, time (UT) (pfu) (p/cm−2)a Time Peak (min.) Long. (sfu) Pred. Pred.
02/06/1986 09:35 15 1.01E+07 06:18 X1.7 7 W06 8800 26
03/11/1989 05:30 183 3.19E+06 18:48p X4.5 24 E22 20 000 14
03/13/1989 05:25 10 4.37E+05 02:59 X1.2 21 W02 1400 (8)
03/17/1989 22:20 10 2.62E+06 17:29 X6.5 8 W60 7500 54 471
07/25/1989 09:00 18 5.32E+06 08:39 X2.6 4 W84 830 (2) (7)
08/12/1989 16:00 557 4.77E+08 13:57 X2.6 27 W37 5900 38 606
09/29/1989 12:00 5650 9.59E+08 10:47 X9.8 46 W23 15 000 188 1110
10/19/1989 13:05 5150 2.25E+09 12:29 X13.0 26 E10 44 000 (8) 110
10/22/1989 18:00 700 17:08 X2.9 49 W31 39 000 70 5370
10/24/1989 18:00 500 17:36 X5.7 55 W57 48 000 643 24 100
11/15/1989 07:20 13 3.93E+06 06:38 X3.2 27 W26 3300 26 175
11/30/1989 17:25 42 2.99E+07 11:45 X2.6 40 W52 4400 127 1310
05/21/1990 22:55 62 2.33E+07 22:12 X5.5 5 W36 6400 11 114
05/24/1990 21:10 43 5.79E+07 20:46 X9.3 3 W78 45 000 10 459
03/23/1991 08:35 2510 4.87E+08 22:43p X9.4 2 E28 37 000
05/13/1991 02:20 25 5.94E+06 01:03 M8.2 41 W90 190 (5) 11
06/04/1991 18:10 23 6.78E+07 03:37 X12 13 E70 33 000
06/11/1991 02:40 269 1.49E+08 02:09 X12 20 W17 17 000 54 358
06/15/1991 08:45 153 9.95E+07 06:33 X12 118 W69 17 000 2990 11 400
06/25/1992 20:25 37 1.51E+07 19:47 X3.9 24 W67 20 000 90 2950
10/30/1992 19:10 210 1.39E+08 17:02 X1.7 28 W61 9000 46 1920
11/02/1992 03:20 312 1.68E+08 02:31 X9.0 37 W90 17 000 115 995
09/03/1994 08:50 37 1.95E+05 None NR NR
09/04/1994 09:00 16 3.30E+05 None NR NR
09/05/1994 09:30 11 1.31E+05 None NR NR
09/06/1994 09:00 58 7.55E+05 None NR NR
11/06/1997 12:40 115 7.46E+07 11:49 X9.4 6 W63 10 000 54 424
04/20/1998 12:50 103 8.29E+07 09:38 M1.4 43 W90? NR NR
05/02/1998 14:00 24 8.38E+06 13:31 X1.1 11 W15 1700 16
05/06/1998 08:25 19 2.83E+06 07:58 X2.7 11 W65 2000 21 143
08/24/1998 23:10 11 1.08E+07 21:50 X1.0 22 E09 2100 (5)
09/30/1998 14:30 30 8.33E+06 None NR NR
11/14/1998 06:55 28 1.05E+07 None NR NR
07/14/2000 10:40 1670 1.37E+09 10:03 X5.7 21 W07 8900 (9) 86
11/08/2000 23:45 1880 1.16E+09 22:42 M7.4 46 W71 240 20 25
11/25/2000 20:00 19 7.48E+06 00:58 M8.2 32 E50 2800
04/03/2001 00:00 54 2.40E+07 21:32p X20 19 W75 7600 386 591
04/15/2001 14:00 275 7.75E+07 13:19 X14.4 31 W85 1500 240 99
04/18/2001 02:45 40 1.86E+07 None WL NR NR
08/16/2001 01:05 144 3.94E+07 None bWL NR NR
09/24/2001 12:00 273 3.21E+08 09:32 X2.6 66 E23 23 000 35
10/01/2001 14:20 25 1.10E+07 04:41 M9.1 34 No L 130 NR NR
11/04/2001 16:50 2120 9.87E+08 16:03 X1.0 17 W18 2400 (2) 53
11/22/2001 21:50 162 1.46E+08 22:32 M9.9 58 W36 790 28 166
12/26/2001 05:55 180 3.33E+07 04:32 M7.1 68 W54 3800 49 2060
04/21/2002 01:50 208 1.98E+08 00:43 X1.5 68 W84 2800 37 426
08/24/2002 01:30 76 1.87E+07 00:49 X3.1 23 W81 13 000 29 841
10/26/2003 18:10 10 3.03E+06 17:21 X1.2 58 W38 4500 40 1060
10/28/2003 11:40 1630 1.06E+09 09:51 X17.2 79 E08 70 000 57 658
11/02/2003 17:40 153 4.84E+07 17:03 X8.3 22 W56 17 000 308 3780
11/10/2004 03:10 13 4.83E+06 01:59 X2.5 14 W49 5000 27 459
01/16/2005 02:35 11 22:25p X2.6 37 W05 21 000 (6) 305
01/17/2005 10:00 350 1.64E+08 06:59 X3.8 173 W25 16 000 357 5520
01/20/2005 06:50 1070 1.52E+08 06:36 X7.1 25 W61 62 000 266 12 100
09/08/2005 01:20 50 8.14E+07 17:17p X17.0 23 E77 23 000
12/06/2006 18:50 103 9.71E+07 18:29 X6.5 18 E64 13 000
12/13/2006 02:55 167 6.19E+07 02:14 X3.4 26 W23 7100 22 300
12/14/2006 22:50 11 2.37E+06 21:07 X1.5 52 W46 1900 98 1000
06/07/2011 07:10 14 7.92E+06 06:16 M2.5 25 W64 870 170
01/23/2012 04:45 76 6.61E+07 03:38 M8.7 21 W21 6900 (3) 201
01/27/2012 18:50 47 3.95E+07 17:37 X1.7 60 W71 810 83 241
03/07/2012 03:40 300 3.61+08 00:02 X5.4 22 E27 20 000 (6)
03/13/2012 17:55 24 4.44E+06 17:12 M7.9 29 W59 4100 19 965
05/17/2012 02:00 78 1.40E+07 01:25 M5.1 22 W76 630 (3) 52
05/22/2013 14:20 26 1.93E+07 13:08 M5.0 24 W70 83 (5)
01/06/2014 08:25 12 4.62E+06 None bWL NR NR
01/07/2014 19:50 48 3.59E+07 18:04 X1.2 28 W11 1800 (2) 33
a

p indicates preceding day.

b

– indicates no ≥1 pfu PPS forecast; () indicates PPS forecast of 1–10 pfu; NR means the data available for the event are not sufficient to run PPS.

Current usage metrics show cumulative count of Article Views (full-text article views including HTML views, PDF and ePub downloads, according to the available data) and Abstracts Views on Vision4Press platform.

Data correspond to usage on the plateform after 2015. The current usage metrics is available 48-96 hours after online publication and is updated daily on week days.

Initial download of the metrics may take a while.