Assessment of models for the prediction of the Travelling Ionospheric Disturbance activity index in mid-latitude Europe | Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate

Topical Issue - Observing, modelling and forecasting TIDs and mitigating their impact on technology

Open Access

Figure 6

Left panels: One-hour prediction of the TID activity index during the geomagnetic storm event registered on the 20th of November 2003 using: (a) LR_EKL, (c) LR_AE, (e) PM and (g) NN model. Right panels: The same predictions presented in the left panel, but evaluated as a classification problem, showing True Positives (TP), True Negatives (TN), False Positives (FP) and False Negatives (FN) for a threshold of 0.5 TECU obtained using: (b) LR_EKL, (d) LR_AE, (f) PM and (h) NN model.

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